Kigali, Rwanda — June 19, 2025 | XTRAfrica News

In a decision that has sparked fresh criticism of Rwanda’s judicial independence, the High Court in Kigali has officially ordered a criminal investigation into opposition figure Victoire Ingabire Umuhoza - potentially dragging her back into court as a co-accused in an alleged plot to overthrow President Paul Kagame’s government.

Ingabire, who was granted a presidential pardon in 2018 after serving eight years in prison on previous charges widely seen as politically motivated, now finds herself at the center of a new legal storm. The court ruled that her testimony was "insufficient" and instructed prosecutors to gather more evidence over the next two weeks before possibly charging her.

The Charges: Real or Manufactured?

The current case involves nine accused individuals, including journalist Théoneste Nsengimana, who were allegedly part of an online training initiative meant to organize peaceful resistance. The prosecution claims these sessions were backed by DALFA-Umurinzi, Ingabire’s unregistered political party, and were aimed at "mobilizing the public for regime change."

Ingabire denied any involvement, saying she neither planned nor participated in any such training and that DALFA-Umurinzi, which has never been legally recognized, has no connection to the accused. She emphasized that her efforts to register the party were repeatedly blocked by authorities, leaving it inactive.

Despite this, the judges ruled her responses unconvincing and cited "evidence in the case file" that suggests she may have played a role in the planning or communication around the events in question.

Political Targeting Disguised as Justice?

Legal analysts and Pan-African observers say the timing and tone of the case point to a broader pattern: criminalizing dissent.

This isn’t the first time Rwanda’s judiciary has come under fire. Courts have consistently failed to protect freedom of expression, especially when it comes to opposition figures, journalists, and activists.

The repeated blocking of DALFA-Umurinzi’s registration adds weight to claims that the system is rigged to protect power, not the people.

Ingabire Day Now a Threat?

Prosecutors also tied the case to "Ingabire Day" - an annual event organized by her supporters in the diaspora. While Ingabire said she does not plan or attend the event, she is often invited to send a recorded message, which she admitted doing. Authorities claim this is part of a broader political mobilization strategy -but critics say that’s a stretch.

Kagame’s Shadow Looms Over Case

President Paul Kagame’s past remarks, in which he indirectly warned that pardoned figures celebrating “democracy” would soon face consequences, still echo loudly. Ingabire’s legal team considers those comments a direct threat.

What Happens Next?

The court has given prosecutors two weeks to complete their investigation. The trial will resume on July 7, 2025, where it’s expected that Victoire Ingabire could officially become a suspect.

Pan-African voices, civil society groups, and international legal monitors are now being urged to watch Rwanda closely.